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Err on the side of the bulls? short term trade 9/28/20 12:55 ET

It is early, but the medium term strategy says this breadth thrust could be real which is counter to the short term strategy which is saying to short into this rally because there is actionable selling signals.  However, there is a gap fill waiting to be filled near 3384 (magenta line) and the ST strategy doesn't know about the gaps.  Note that while this ST strategy is nearly 100% in the market and has a 3.04 profit factor overall, with 100% long trades profitable, the short trades are only 52% profitable over the last 3.5 months studied.  The average profitable trades taken on the short side are also only 1/3 the profits of the long trades.  The safe course is usually to err on the side of the bulls.

 

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Last 10 trades were all profitable.

 

 32  Buy  8/27/2020 14:30  Buy  $3,489.11  $0.00  29  $486.91  0.48%  $549.84  79.70%    $0.00  $0.00
   Sell  8/28/2020 16:00  Short  $3,505.90    $486.91  $5,896.53    ($140.07)  90.88%  70.58%  $0.00  $0.00
 33  Buy  8/28/2020 11:00  Buy  $3,491.05  $0.00  29  $430.65  0.43%  $493.58  71.66%    $0.00  $0.00
   Sell  8/28/2020 16:00  Short  $3,505.90    $430.65  $6,327.18    ($195.17)  90.86%  62.53%  $0.00  $0.00
 34  Sell Short  8/28/2020 16:00  Short  $3,505.90  $0.00  29  $3,299.04  3.24%  $4,531.83  65.53%    $0.00  $0.00
   Buy to Cover  9/4/2020 12:00  Buy  $3,392.14    $3,299.04  $9,626.22    ($2,384.09)  82.17%  47.70%  $0.00  $0.00
 35  Sell Short  9/1/2020 11:00  Short  $3,514.99  $0.00  28  $3,439.80  3.50%  $4,630.08  69.34%    $0.00  $0.00
   Buy to Cover  9/4/2020 12:00  Buy  $3,392.14    $3,439.80  $13,066.02    ($2,047.36)  82.17%  51.51%  $0.00  $0.00
 36  Sell Short  9/2/2020 10:30  Short  $3,537.81  $0.00  28  $4,078.76  4.12%  $5,269.04  78.91%    $0.00  $0.00
   Buy to Cover  9/4/2020 12:00  Buy  $3,392.14    $4,078.76  $17,144.78    ($1,408.40)  82.17%  61.08%  $0.00  $0.00
 37  Buy  9/4/2020 12:00  Buy  $3,392.14  $0.00  30  $840.30  0.83%  $1,889.70  43.54%    $0.00  $0.00
   Sell  9/16/2020 12:00  Short  $3,420.15    $840.30  $17,985.08    ($2,450.10)  75.82%  19.36%  $0.00  $0.00
 38  Buy  9/11/2020 15:00  Buy  $3,324.34  $0.00  30  $2,874.30  2.88%  $2,919.60  99.66%    $0.00  $0.00
   Sell  9/16/2020 12:00  Short  $3,420.15    $2,874.30  $20,859.38    ($9.90)  98.45%  98.12%  $0.00  $0.00
 39  Sell Short  9/16/2020 12:00  Short  $3,420.15  $0.00  29  $5,190.71  5.23%  $6,110.30  96.00%    $0.00  $0.00
   Buy to Cover  9/25/2020 10:00  Buy  $3,241.16    $5,190.71  $26,050.09    ($254.33)  85.55%  81.56%  $0.00  $0.00
 40  Sell Short  9/16/2020 15:00  Short  $3,421.57  $0.00  29  $5,231.89  5.27%  $6,151.48  100.00%    $0.00  $0.00
   Buy to Cover  9/25/2020 10:00  Buy  $3,241.16    $5,231.89  $31,281.98    $0.00  85.05%  85.05%  $0.00  $0.00
 41  Buy  9/25/2020 10:00  Buy  $3,241.16  $0.00  31  $2,989.64  2.98%  $3,378.38  89.55%    $0.00  $0.00
   Sell  9/28/2020 10:30  Short  $3,337.60    $2,989.64  $34,271.62    ($394.32)  89.70%  79.24%  $0.00  $0.00
 42  Sell Short  9/28/2020 10:30  Short  $3,337.60    30  n/a  n/a  $80.70  n/a    $0.00  $0.00
   Buy to Cover  Open  n/a  $3,347.66    n/a  n/a    ($583.50)  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
 43  Sell Short  9/28/2020 11:00  Short  $3,351.83    30  n/a  n/a  $237.30  n/a    $0.00  $0.00
   Buy to Cover  Open  n/a  $3,347.66    n/a  n/a    ($114.90)  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a