Since 2014 India has fallen into many globally measured indicators. One of them being the Fragile States Index, previously it was called as Failed States Index. This index records the securities of all types and economic development. As per FSI, the nations that are most likely to maintain their success are the Nordic nations of Finland, Norway, Denmark, Finland, Canada, New Zealand, and Australia. India stands nowhere next to these countries or the next two categories of these countries. India stands in the fifth category from the bottom known as Elevated Warning with nations like Colombia, Brazil, Israel, Algeria, Russia, and Senegal. Although there are 30 nations in this category, only four nations have declined since last year i.e. Brazil, Colombia, Bolivia, and India.
Federal States Index gives a detailed chapter on India, mentioning why they consider India’s future is shared with bottom-line nations rather than with the prosperous and democratic western countries that India wants to be with. FSI is much of the opinion that the ruling government’s poorly thought and implemented reforms have declined India’s economic growth making it stand to its lowest nominal since 1978. The Modi government has responded to this in form of an embrace of protectionism, higher government investment, bank lending targets, and direct export assistance. These reforms have been unable to reverse this trend. In the matters of national security, the country records the turmoil in Kashmir, religious divisions, and the attack on free speech. To explain thoroughly a failed State is one where the government is not in control.
India needs to control their rule of law, economy, security, stability, and development. Indian history as a formal democracy and its generally gentle and kind image around the world has hidden the country’s fragility elsewhere. India as a nation running after its citizens firmly has startled other nations. The world links India's failing on the economic front as it is linked to the Hindutva agenda. This is tearing apart the social fabric and thus harming what it sees as the security of Indians. The Fragile States Index can only predict things where they are and notify the people where India is heading. It cannot mention what is needed to be corrected. As a matter of common sense is that the first thing Indians should do is stop doing what they are doing under the Modi government. This is taking them in the wrong direction both economically and socially.
When compared to the previous ruling government the country was earning and eating more in 2012 than in 2018. From 2018 it has been 36 months that India is declining in its growth. What the situation is currently in the economy only God knows. With all the possible details provided by Fragile States Index, India is nowhere seen working on reversing the decline situation. Probably the nation is heading towards economic disaster. This seems to be a self-dug hole digging deeper with each failing reform of the Indian government.
Fragile States Index is predicting a future for India that will frighten Indians if they were to be told that this is where they have headed. But even though it has delivered a recession, on the back of three years of economic decline, with record unemployment and severe social stress, this is not the narrative Indians are being fed by its government. A couple of decades or so ago, Indian analysts took great joy in the fact that the index was predicting that Pakistan was fast becoming a failed State. Well, the Indians had not anticipated then that India would be put on the same trajectory and so soon.
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