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"Ohtani to Dodgers for $500M+α, World's Most..." Solid consensus, no Idoru in 2024.

 It's true that the $600 million is not guaranteed, but it's not the end of the road for the $500 million theory.

The Athletic recently predicted the ALL-MLB team and made a nuanced prediction that Shohei Ohtani's (29, free agent) $500 million contract has collapsed. There was also a recent report from DodgerBlue that the Los Angeles Dodgers hype machine is faltering. In fact, the New York Yankees, San Francisco Giants, and others are expected to be in the mix.

However, Bleacher Report's prediction for the 2023-2024 offseason on Sept. 29 suggests that Ohtani will end up in a Dodger uniform with the first $500 million-plus contract in the majors. The logic is that the uncertain future of his elbow is addressed with an option.

Shohei Ohtani is Dodgers' obvious top offseason target, but L.A. shouldn't  stop there after another NLDS exit - CBSSports.com

Ohtani's agency said he underwent elbow surgery in late September in Los Angeles with Dr. Neil Ellatrache, but did not describe the specific procedure. Most US media outlets believe that Ohtani underwent a second Tommy John surgery.

As a result, many argue that he should be protected by a subtle option, which could affect his contract total. However, according to Bleacher Report, "Ohtani is the best hitter in Major League Baseball and one of the most marketable athletes in the world". 바카라사이트 

That means you need to think about his business value off the field. Ohtani's "straight-laced macho" image makes him a perfect fit. His good looks are a bonus. According to the Sports Business Journal, Ohtani was number one in jersey sales in September. He's already a walking business. The prospect of revenue from advertising, broadcasting rights, and more is huge for any team that gets their hands on him.

Additionally, in FanGraphs' post-2021 top hitter race, Ohtani is third behind Aaron Judge (New York Yankees) and Freddie Freeman (Los Angeles Dodgers). Juan Soto (San Diego Padres) is fourth. With that in mind, "he should be worth more than $500 million in free agency to account for the possibility of being an above-average starter again starting in 2025," 

Of course, he also believes teams will put safeguards in place for elbow risk. "They'll need to include an innings-based option to prevent him from being overpaid if his elbow is never the same again," Bleacher Report wrote. He will honor his contract with the Dodgers."